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CTPNV:EURONEXT AMSTERDAMCTP N.V. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-16 - not real-time

€16.20

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

CTP N.V. trades at €16.20, precisely at its calculated resistance of €16.20 and just above the 20‑day SMA of €15.87, while still lagging the 200‑day SMA of €17.56, indicating short‑term momentum but a longer‑term bearish bias. The MACD histogram is positive (0.06) and the signal line is bullish, yet the RSI sits at 68, bordering overbought territory, suggesting a potential pull‑back toward the support level of €15.54. Valuation metrics are compelling: the trailing P/E of 7.07 is far below the industry average of 32, and the P/B of 0.90 signals a discount to book value, positioning the stock as undervalued. Dividend yield is attractive at 3.95% with a modest payout ratio of 26%, supporting the case for income‑focused investors. However, the balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with €9.4 bn of debt versus €0.63 bn of cash (debt‑to‑equity ≈ 108%), and free cash flow is modest at €64 m, flagging financial risk. Volatility over the past 30 days is elevated at 21.5% and the beta of 0.16 points to low market‑beta exposure but heightened idiosyncratic risk. Recent regulatory filings confirm dividend scrip take‑up and an upcoming H1‑2026 results release, underscoring a stable corporate governance environment. Overall, the stock presents a mix of strong valuation and dividend appeal against a backdrop of high leverage and sector cyclicality.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price at technical resistance and high RSI
  • Elevated short‑term volatility
  • High leverage raising downside risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation discount to peers
  • Attractive dividend yield with low payout ratio
  • Strong operating margins and cash generation

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term demand for logistics and industrial real estate
  • Sustainability credentials (BREEAM, ESG rating)
  • Consistent dividend policy despite leverage

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth13.90%
Profit Margin109.46%
P/E Ratio7.1
ROE13.49%
ROA2.18%
Debt/Equity108.35
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow€298.2M
Free Cash Flow€64.4M
Industry P/E32.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI68.2
Support€15.54
Resistance€16.20
MA 20€15.87
MA 50€16.07
MA 200€17.56
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.45

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.95%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.16
Volatility21.48%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.